The way to play the soccer marketplace is to open accounts with European bookmakers as the real difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions on this sport. They are going to price up the sport in their own country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy than the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everybody thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This is great news for us. The European bookmakers may be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed familiarity with the comings and goings within their own countries they are relying on third parties to collate information on their own foreign counterparts.
One good beginning is in midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There is a tendency in punters to get patriotic when it comes to events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the home team get talked up and the odds could get skewed within their favour as the weight of cash is overly wagered in their direction.
In spite of this the big bookmakers offer an early price, they will often advertise it within the national papers and by and large stick to it. This means a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may take another opinion or try to tempt money in their direction by offering different odds. If this were to happen the arb might be accessible for a considerable amount of time.
You will discover always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers usually stick around the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember they are ‘guessing’ exactly what the odds should be the same as you and me. They’re basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae however they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
Also they can get it wrong as well as other firms takes a totally different view of the outcome of a game. A totally different view will only end in a slight variation in the odds but this can be enough to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They may have quite lucrative discrepancies. They’re going to be covered by a range of different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however add a complication. Although quite easy for finding arbs, the mere proven fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you will be going to get spotted through the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they’re going to be reluctant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. In contrast it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You’ll need to weigh up the pros and cons of this strategy.
This really is a fairly obscure place of betting and if someone was to check your account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it could ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as many various sort of sport and events as possible to ensure that your accounts have varied bets on them. This should not be a problem as numerous sports are great for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties may also produce arbs and they are less more likely to attract attention to you and also the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you decide to can’t control regardless of if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and so 2 losing bets to one winning for a number of be useful on your account. The point here is that not many individuals are interested in the lower European divisions and it may become clear that the betting pattern is a little unusual. This is especially true if your bets towards the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. If a player fails a late fitness test on a Saturday and he is the teams star striker then this will certainly greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the final minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not saying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Although the odds on the game clearly changed the moment this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this and playing online gambling agent altered prices as the cash poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or might not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This type of last second frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair the place you can behave as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the many soccer sites. Alternatively satellite television channels always have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and are quick to offer any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all at the same time, only one by one so creating sure bets.
Inside this scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The new price is the one that wont change the old price will be the one which is going to and so could possibly be lost if you’re not quick.