Most punters like to wager on top flight football particularly the English Premier League (EPL). Millions of dollars are wagered on every match.
Why is there the tendency to concentrate on elite football?
Because the punters believe they have better knowledge thereby greater confidence. They like the winning consistency of the big clubs. Conversely, the odds for such consistent winners are often low and without value.
It can pay dividends to concentrate on the lower leagues. Let me share with you an interesting incident. On 21st Feb. 2009, there was a match between English non-league side Weymouth and Rushden & Diamonds. Weymouth was trashed 9-0. But Weymouth fans laughed all the way to the bank. The bookmakers paid out more than one million English Pounds in one of the biggest betting coups in non-league history.
What went wrong for the bookmakers?
Within the lower leagues, the punters have an advantage whenever they will be able to acquire the latest team news faster than the bookmakers. In the incident, Weymouth fans learned “before the bookmakers” that Weymouth’s first team, which had not been paid at all this coming year as a result of the club’s debts, went on strike after discovering that there was no medical insurance for the game. The club had no choice but to field its inexperienced youth team. In this match, the bookmakers were caught with their pants down.
Those punters who are prepared to spend the exact same amount of time applying the same research criteria in the lower divisions can profit immensely. The following four reasons will convince you :
Smaller Squad – Most lower division teams don’t have huge squads and cannot replace their star players effortlessly with players of the exact same quality online football. Injury or suspension of certain key players can upset the performance of the whole team.
No Powerhouses – Unlike the elite league like EPL, for the lower divisions, you’ll find no powerhouses who dominate the league for multiple seasons. You can find no so-called Big Four. This gives the lower leagues a far more level playing field and creates more opportunities for value betting.
Better Odds – Manchester United is the reigning EPL champion as well as the odds for virtually every of its Home games are hardly worth making a bet. On the flip side, the equivalent leading league favourite in a lower division could get around 3 times the odds by having an almost equal probability chance of winning. Throughout the season, many such instances will crop up which the punters can capitalise on.
Same Punting Options – With the growth of online betting, lower division football now has the exact same type of markets and punting options as the top tier football. Alternatively, the bookmakers often dedicate most of their time on the very best flight leagues. For the bottom divisions, there’s a tendency for them to make more mistakes when setting the prices. There is value to be spotted.