Most punters like to wager on top flight football especially the English Premier League (EPL). Millions of dollars are wagered on every match.
Why is there the tendency to focus on elite football?
Because the punters believe they have better knowledge and so greater confidence. They like the winning consistency of the big clubs. Alternatively, the odds for such consistent winners will often be low and without value.
It can pay dividends to focus on the lower leagues. Let me share with you a fascinating incident. On 21st Feb. 2009, there was a match between English non-league side Weymouth and Rushden & Diamonds. Weymouth was trashed 9-0. But Weymouth fans laughed all the way to the bank. The bookmakers paid out more than one million English Pounds in among the biggest betting coups in non-league history.
What went wrong for the bookmakers?
Within the lower leagues, the punters have an edge if they are able to get the-latest team news faster than the bookmakers. In the incident, Weymouth fans discovered “before the bookmakers” that Weymouth’s first team, which had not been paid at all this year due to the club’s debts, went on strike after discovering that there was no medical insurance for safe gambling the game. The club had no choice but to field its inexperienced youth team. Inside this match, the bookmakers were caught with their pants down.
Those punters who are prepared to spend the same quantity of time applying the same research criteria in the lower divisions can profit immensely. The following four reasons will convince you :
Smaller Squad – Most lower division teams don’t have huge squads and cannot replace their star players conveniently with players of the same quality. Injury or suspension of certain key players can upset the performance of the entire team.
No Powerhouses – Unlike the elite league like EPL, for the lower divisions, you will discover no powerhouses who dominate the league for multiple seasons. You will find no so-called Big Four. This gives the lower leagues a more level playing field and creates more opportunities for value betting.
Better Odds – Manchester United will be the reigning EPL champion and the odds for virtually every of its Home games are hardly worth making a bet. On the other hand, the equivalent leading league favourite in a lower division could get just as much as 3 times the odds with the almost equal probability chance of winning. Throughout the season, many such instances will crop up which the punters can capitalise on.
Same Punting Options – With the growth of online betting, lower division football now has the exact same sort of markets and punting options as the very best tier football. On the contrary, the bookmakers have a tendency to dedicate most of their time on the very best flight leagues. For the lower divisions, there is a tendency for them to make more mistakes when setting the costs. There is value to be spotted.